Financials

Citigroup Likely to See Earnings Upside on Progress in ‘Bending The Cost Curve,’ Oppenheimer Says

Citigroup (C) could surpass market expectations on earnings in the coming year or two after making progress in its cost-cutting program, Oppenheimer said in a note Monday. “While Citi has some headwinds to earnings we think that expectations have been beaten down so low, and progress on expenses sufficient that we think the probabilities are very high that they will beat street expectations in the coming year or two,” Oppenheimer analysts Chris Kotowski and Kevin Tripp said. After a long period of guiding that the “cost curve” would “bend” between Q3 and Q4 of 2024, the management effectively said it had bent already and that costs would be sequentially lower from here for the next few quarters, the analysts said. “There is significant upside to this level of earnings over the next 2-3 years,” they said. Oppenheimer trimmed its price target to $87 from $88 while keeping its outperform rating.

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JPMorgan’s Post-Q1 Slump Likely Short-Lived, Oppenheimer Analysts Say

JPMorgan Chase (JPM) can likely recover soon from Friday’s 6.5% share-price decline, with the company’s strengths in consumer, commercial and institutional banking overcoming disappointment caused by missing consensus calls on a handful of Q1 internal metrics, Oppenheimer analysts wrote Monday. Given its Q1 results appeared to be a “solid beat” on both the top and bottom lines, the Oppenheimer analysts they could not really explain why JPMorgan fell Friday. They reiterated their outperform rating for the company’s stock but tweaked their price target for JPMorgan shares, lowering it to $217 from $219, largely because of changes “in the market multiple, as our 2025 estimates are nearly unchanged,” they wrote. The analysts said the primary risks for JPMorgan and its share price were credit quality and interest rates as well as potential legal and regulatory issues. The bank, like most of its peers, has significantly reduced its risk profile, although if

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Goldman Sachs (GS) Q1 2024 Earnings Conference

The following is a summary of the The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (GS) Q1 2024 Earnings Call Transcript: Financial Performance: The Goldman Sachs Group reported net revenues of $14.2 billion and net earnings of $4.1 billion in Q1 2024, resulting in earnings per share of $11.58. The common equity tier-1 ratio stood at 14.7% at the end of the first quarter, with the company returning $2.4 billion to shareholders, including common stock repurchases of $1.5 billion and common stock dividends of $929 million. The total loan portfolio at quarter-end was $184 billion, with a provision for credit losses of $318 million. The company’s Global Banking & Markets division generated revenues of $9.7 billion in Q1, resulting in an 18% return on equity. Asset & Wealth Management division’s revenues stood at $3.8 billion, marking an 18% YoY increase. Business Progress: Goldman Sachs experienced a revival in new issue market access in

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CFRA Reiterates Buy Rating On Shares Of Jpmorgan Chase & Co.

CFRA, an independent research provider, has provided MT Newswires with the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows: We keep our $215 target on a forward P/E of 13.0x, above the five-year historical average of 12.3x. Following a $0.31 earnings beat at $4.44 in Q1, we raise our 2024 EPS by $0.50 to $16.50 and 2025’s by $0.70 to $17.00. The Q1 revenue beat was 9% higher (to $41.9B), supporting our higher revenue forecast of $164B in 2024 and $166B in 2025. We think current rates and a healthy U.S. economy support higher loan volume and the impact on net interest income (NII), which JPM is guiding conservatively at $90B for 2024. In Q1, NII rose 11% Y/Y and total loans were +16% Y/Y, with deposit-related fees +2%. Consumer net revenue was +15%, with banking/wealth management +3%, home lending +65%, and card services/auto +8%. Commercial

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Goldman Sachs Sees 1Q Gains From Debt Underwriting, Lower Debt Investments

Goldman Sachs’ debt underwriting topline performance was one of the main drivers of the 32% increase the lender reported in 1Q investment banking fees. The U.S. bank’s debt underwriting revenue climbed 38% from the year-ago period, and 77% from the prior quarter. At the same time, Goldman Sachs’ revenue from debt investments declined both sequentially and on a year-ago comparison basis to $345 million, reflecting lower net interest income due to a reduction in the debt investments balance sheet. The bank’s debt investments have been volatile over the past year amid net mark-downs in real estate. Shares rise 4% to $405.25 in pre-market trading.

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CFRA Reiterates Buy Rating On Shares Of Jpmorgan Chase & Co.

CFRA, an independent research provider, has provided MT Newswires with the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows: We keep our $215 target on a forward P/E of 13.4x, above the five-year historical average of 12.3x. Following a $0.31 earnings beat at $4.44 in Q1, we raise our 2024 EPS by $0.50 to $16.50 and 2025’s by $0.70 to $17.00. The Q1 revenue beat was 9% higher (to $41.9B), supporting our higher revenue forecast of $164B in 2024 and $166B in 2025. We think current rates and a healthy U.S. economy support higher loan volume and the impact on net interest income (NII), which JPM is guiding conservatively at $90B for 2024. In Q1, NII rose 11% Y/Y and total loans were +16% Y/Y, with deposit-related fees +2%. Consumer net revenue was +15%, with banking/wealth management +3%, home lending +65%, and card services/auto +8%. Commercial

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CFRA Keeps Buy Opinion On Shares Of Blackrock, Inc.

CFRA, an independent research provider, has provided MT Newswires with the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows: We raise our 12-month target price by $20 to $915, valuing BLK shares at 19.7x our 2025 adjusted EPS estimate of $46.50 (lifted by $1.40) and at 21.2x our 2024 EPS estimate of $43.20 (upped by $0.12), versus the three-year average forward multiple of 20x and a peer average of 15x. Q1 EPS of $9.81 versus $7.93 topped our $9.60 EPS estimate and the $9.39 consensus view on 11.4% higher revenues (versus our 8%-11% estimate) and operating margin of 42.2% versus 40.4%. Long-term net inflows of $76B in Q1 ($183B in the last 12 months) reflected strong and broad-based ETF inflows of $67B. We raise our 2024 revenue growth forecast to 8%-12% and see growth of 9%-12% in 2025. We expect above-peer organic growth; an attractive mandate

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Wells Fargo First-Quarter Results Top Views Despite Lower Net Interest Income

Wells Fargo’s (WFC) first-quarter results topped market estimates even though the lender recorded lower net interest income on an annual basis. Earnings ticked down to $1.20 a share for the quarter through March 31 from $1.23 a year earlier, but were above the Capital IQ-polled consensus of $1.05. The result included $284 million, or $0.06 per share, of additional expense tied to the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. special assessment. It reflects an update provided by the FDIC on losses as well as potential recoveries related to bank failures last year. Revenue edged up 1% to $20.86 billion, ahead of the Street’s $20.15 billion view. Net interest income slid 8% to $12.23 billion due to higher interest rates on funding costs and lower loan balances. Noninterest income jumped 17% to $8.64 billion, led in part by higher trading revenue in the markets business and an increase in investment banking fees. “Our

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Blackrock (BLK) Q1 2024 Earnings Conference

The following is a summary of the BlackRock, Inc. (BLK) Q1 2024 Earnings Call Transcript: Financial Performance: BlackRock’s Q1 results show a record Assets Under Management (AUM) of nearly $10.5 trillion, including Q1 long-term net inflows of $76 billion. They reported revenue of $4.7 billion, an 11% increase YoY. The firm saw operating income of $1.8 billion, up 17% YoY, while earnings per share stood at $9.81, a 24% increase YoY. Non-operating results included $90 million of net investment gains. First quarter base fee in securities lending revenue was $3.8 billion, a growth of 8% YoY. Performance fees of $204 million showed an increase from a year ago. Technology services revenue saw an uptick by 11% YoY. Business Progress: Momentum across the platform is strong, with growth potential in technology, outsource solutions, and private markets. The company is set to acquire equity interest in SpiderRock Advisors to enhance product offerings

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CFRA Reiterates Buy Rating On Shares Of Citigroup Inc.

CFRA, an independent research provider, has provided MT Newswires with the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows: We raise our target $2 to $67 on a forward P/E of 10.8x, below the 11.5x peer average. Our target is a 23% discount to net tangible book value (NTBV) at $86.67, while peers trade at a premium to NTBV. This speaks to C in a multi-year transformation with new leadership that we are confident will succeed. We lift our 2024 EPS view $0.20 to $6.20 and 2025’s $0.20 to $7.25. C reported Q1 EPS of $1.58, a $0.31 earnings beat to the consensus estimate, and $21.1B revenue was $1.1B higher than consensus. C posted 1% Y/Y NII growth and loans were +3%, while deposits were -2%. Services (Treasury and Trade solutions) had +8% fee revenue with North America +3% and International +10%. Markets (or trading) saw

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