Industrials

Caterpillar Beats Earnings Estimates. Why the Stock Is Falling.

Caterpillar reported better-than-expected quarterly earnings but the shares were falling. There just isn’t enough growth these days. Caterpillar announced Thursday fourth-quarter earnings per share of $5.14 from sales of $16.2 billion. Wall Street was looking for profit of $5.05 from sales of $15.8 billion, according to Bloomberg. A year ago, adjusted earnings per share were $5.26 and sales were $17 billion. For 2025, the maker of construction and mining equipment, expects full-year sales slightly lower than 2024. That’s roughly in line with Wall Street projections. Analysts are looking for $64.1 billion in 2025 sales. Caterpillar turned in $64.8 billion sales in 2024. Caterpillar stock was down 4.1% in premarket trading at $377.18 a share while S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average futures each were up about 0.4%. Results looked OK, but there isn’t much growth these days. Sales have fallen year over year for three consecutive quarters. Wall Street […]

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Caterpillar Sales Weaken in North America

Caterpillar’s sales in North America–the company’s biggest and usually its strongest market–sputtered in the 4Q, falling 7% from the same period in 2023. Construction equipment sales dropped 14% and mining equipment was off 23%. The company attributes the declines to shrinking inventories of equipment by its dealers and lower demand from customers. Caterpillar is guiding to slightly lower sales and profit for the entire company in 2025. Shares are off 5% at $374.35 in premarket trading.

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Caterpillar Beats Q4 EPS Estimates But Revenue Disappoints – Machinery, Energy, Transportation Segment Faces Pressure

Caterpillar Inc. (NYSE:CAT) shares are trading lower after the company reported worse-than-expected fourth-quarter 2024 results. Total sales and revenue for the quarter declined 5% year-over-year to $16.215 billion, missing the consensus of $16.411 billion. CAT’s adjusted earnings were $5.14 per share, compared to $5.23 a year ago and above the consensus of $4.99. The sales decline was primarily driven by an $859 million drop in volume, impacted by lower dealer inventories and reduced equipment sales. Dealer inventories fell by $1.3 billion in Q4 2024, compared to a $900 million decrease in Q4 2023. Operating profit fell 7% to $2.924 billion, down $210 million, mainly due to lower sales volume. The operating profit margin was 18%, down from 18.4% a year ago. The adjusted margin fell to 18.3% from 18.9%. Enterprise operating cash flow was $12.035 billion compared to $12.885 billion a year ago. The company ended fiscal 2024 with $6.896 billion

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How the AI Data-Center Boom Is Helping Caterpillar

Caterpillar generators are a hot commodity among developers of computer data centers, despite challenges in some of the machinery maker’s other business lines. Power-generation sales rose 22% last quarter, and Caterpillar is building factory capacity to produce more large engines used as backup electricity generators at data centers. “Many customers are planning orders with us over multiple years” for generators, said Chief Executive Jim Umpleby. “We could ship more if we could build more.” More broadly, for the fourth quarter: — Sales of equipment for construction and mining fell 8% and 9%, respectively, from a year earlier, while the engine and transportation business was roughly flat. — Profit totaled $2.79 billion, or $5.78 a share, up from $2.68 billion a year earlier. Revenue dropped 5% to $16.2 billion. Caterpillar forecast slightly lower first-quarter sales, as the market for construction vehicles and other equipment remains tepid. The first quarter is typically

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Caterpillar Has Potential For Multiple Expansion Post Earnings, Goldman Sachs Says

Goldman Sachs analyst Jerry Revich, maintaining a Buy rating and $442 price forecast, expressed views on Caterpillar, Inc.’s (NYSE:CAT) mixed fourth quarter FY24 results reported today. Total sales and revenue for the quarter declined 5% year-over-year to $16.215 billion, missing the consensus of $16.411 billion, while adjusted earnings of $5.14 per share came above the consensus of $4.99. For 2025, sales are expected to decline ~1% due to unfavorable pricing, with a slight headwind in other income from lower interest income and currency effects. The analyst writes that the key discussion around the company is whether the 2025 margin outlook represents a cyclical trough following its fourth-quarter results. The results highlighted positives such as a sharp increase in destocking ($700 million) and a book-to-bill ratio of 1.08x in orders, adds the analyst. However, concerns remain over 2025 margin targets, which are approximately 200 basis points below FactSet consensus, and a fourth-quarter EBIT

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Caterpillar Faces Tough 2025 Ahead, Morgan Stanley Says

Caterpillar (CAT) faces significant challenges in 2025, with Morgan Stanley lowering its Q1 and fiscal 2025 estimates due to a cautious outlook on pricing, continued dealer de-stocking, and “more modest” contributions from several business areas, with weakness in oil and gas, industrial, and transportation offsetting strength in power generation. The company is “still priced for perfection,” Morgan Stanley said in a note Friday, explaining the company’s investment thesis will likely skew negatively during 2025, even if broader construction and resource-extraction markets show signs of improvement this year. The firm lowered its Q1 and fiscal 2025 earnings estimates for Caterpillar, extending reductions into 2026. The analysts cited a more cautious outlook for pricing, expectations for continued dealer de-stocking, and “more modest” contributions from the Energy & Transportation segment, where strength in power generation is expected to be offset by weakness in oil and gas, industrial, and transportation markets. “Our view is

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Caterpillar’s Risk/Reward Balanced Following Lowered Expectations, UBS Says

Caterpillar’s (CAT) risk/reward is now balanced as expectations for the company have reset lower following two straight quarterly misses in earnings before interest and taxes, UBS Securities said in a Monday note. UBS said potential downside risk exists if “pricing pressure intensifies in 1H25 and/or oil & gas steps down more,” UBS said. “But we see equal risk that business is better than we think in 2H25/2026.” The investment firm said it cut its diluted earnings per share estimates for Caterpillar to $19.95 from $21.25 for 2025, to $21.95 from $22.25 for 2026 and to $22.85 from $23.25 for 2027. UBS upgraded the company’s rating to neutral from sell and raised its price target to $385 from $355.

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GE Aerospace Stock Rises. Earnings and Its Outlook Are Solid.

GE Aerospace reported better-than-expected fourth-quarter earnings Thursday. The outlook from the company looked solid too. Shares were rising shortly after the results were released. GE Aerospace reported fourth-quarter sales of $9.9 billion, operating profit of $1.9 billion, and earnings per share of $1.32. Wall Street was looking for sales of $9.5 billion, operating profit of $1.7 billion, and earnings of $1.04, according to FactSet. For 2025, GE expects to grow sales above 10%, in line with Wall Street estimates. The midpoint of operating profit guidance was $8 billion, which also aligns with estimates. The midpoint of EPS guidance is almost $5.30. Wall Street is looking for closer to $5.25. When GE Aerospace reports earnings on Thursday morning, the fourth-quarter numbers will matter, but the company’s outlook should matter more. This year, ideally, will be pivotal for commercial aerospace, with the industry set to dig out from years of underproduction. For

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GE Aerospace Revenue Surges on New Orders, Beating Estimates

GE Aerospace posted a surge in quarterly revenue that blew past Wall Street’s estimates as the jet-engine maker received an influx of orders to end the year. The Cincinnati company Thursday reported fourth-quarter net earnings of about $1.9 billion, or $1.76 a share, for the three months ended Dec. 31, compared with $1.59 billion, or $1.46 a share, a year earlier. Stripping out certain one-time items, earnings came in at $1.32 a share. Analysts polled by FactSet expected $1.04 a share. Revenue rose to $10.81 billion from $9.46 billion, ahead of the average analyst forecast for $9.49 billion. Shares of GE Aerospace rose 6.8% to $201.11 in premarket trading. Revenue grew 19% to $7.65 billion year-over-year in its commercial engines-and-services segment. The defense-and-propulsion-technologies segment rose 4% to $2.52 billion. Chief Executive H. Lawrence Culp, Jr. said the company ended 2024 on a high note amid robust demand for its services

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GE Aerospace Q4 Earnings: EPS Beat, Dividend And Stock Buyback Hike, Strong FY25 Outlook And More

GE Aerospace (NYSE:GE) shares are trading higher premarket on Thursday after it reported fourth-quarter adjusted revenue growth of 16% year-over-year to $9.879 billion and GAAP revenue of $10.812 billion. The analyst consensus was $9.604 billion. Commercial Engines & Services revenue was $7.650 billion (+19% Y/Y) and Defense & Propulsion Technologies revenue totaled $2.523 billion (+4% Y/Y). Total orders increased 46% Y/Y to $15.5 billion, with Commercial Engines & Services +50% Y/Y and Defense & Propulsion Technologies +22% Y/Y. GE Aerospace’s adjusted operating profit margin expanded 450 bps to 20.1%, with an adjusted operating profit of $1.988 billion, up 49% in the quarter. Adjusted EPS for the quarter was $1.32 (+103% Y/Y), beating the consensus of $1.04. GE Aerospace’s cash from operating activities for the fiscal year stood at $5.8 billion (+26%), while adjusted free cash flow rose 28%. The company repurchased shares worth more than $6 billion in 2024. Also, it

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GE Aerospace Expects To Deliver ‘Solid’ Revenue Growth In 2025

GE Aerospace sees recent momentum continuing in 2025. CEO Larry Culp says on an earnings call that he aims to deliver “solid low double-digit revenue growth, including growth in Commercial Engines & Services and Defense & Propulsion Technologies.” GE Aerospace expects profit to range between $7.8 billion and $8.2 billion. “This, combined with a lower share count, will translate to EPS in the range of $5.10 to $5.45 and up 15% at the midpoint,” Culp says according to a transcript provided by FactSet. GE Aerospace climbs 8% premarket.

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GE Aerospace Beats Expectations Across The Board: Analyst Sees Upside In 2025 Guidance

Goldman Sachs analyst Noah Poponak expressed views on GE Aerospace’s (NYSE:GE) fourth-quarter FY24 results. Today, the company reported fourth-quarter adjusted revenue growth of 16% year-over-year to $9.879 billion and GAAP revenue of $10.812 billion. The analyst consensus was $9.604 billion. Adjusted EPS for the quarter was $1.32 (+103% Y/Y), beating the consensus of $1.04. GE Aerospace expects FY25 adjusted revenue growth in the low double digits and adjusted EPS of $5.10 – 5.45 vs. the $5.22 consensus. The analyst writes that GE Aerospace’s results exceeded Factset’s consensus on revenue, segment operating margin, EPS, and free cash. According to the analyst, Commercial Engines exceeded consensus expectations on revenue and margin, and Defense was slightly ahead on both revenue and margin. Poponak says that the initial 2025 guidance is above consensus at the high of the ranges. The analyst rates the company Buy with a price target of $204.

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