MSCI Q1 Results to Modestly Beat Estimates Over ABF Strength, RBC Capital Says

MSCI’s (MSCI) Q1 results could modestly beat estimates on the back of asset based fees, or ABF, strength, RBC Capital Markets said in an earnings preview emailed Monday. The firm said it was modeling a 15% year-over-year increase in Q1 ABF, roughly in line with the 15.9% posted last quarter. However, RBC said it was conservatively estimating Q1 revenue of $682 million, in line with consensus. Meanwhile, net new subscriptions should rise single digit year-over-year after declining for the last five quarters, the note said. RBC Capital has an Outperform rating on the company’s stock with a price target of $638. MSCI shares were up 1% in recent Monday trading.

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Spotify Q1 Preview: Analyst Sees 2024 Shaping Up With Revenue Acceleration, Enhanced Margins

As Spotify Technology SA (NYSE:SPOT) gears up for its first-quarter earnings release on April 23. Wall Street expects Spotify to report 81 cents in EPS and $3.95 billion in revenue. Spotify stock is up 135% over the past year, rising 64% YTD. As the company heads towards its Q1 earnings print, analysts are buzzing with optimism and anticipation.

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Look Out, Super Micro – Dell Is Gaining Steam, and Its Stock Could Keep Soaring

An analyst sees Dell getting more competitive with its rival Shares of Dell Technologies Inc. are near record territory, and one analyst sees plenty of reasons why their momentum can continue. Melius Research’s Ben Reitzes thinks Dell (DELL) is picking up market share in servers – and has room to keep doing so as it receives more graphics processing units from Nvidia Corp. (NVDA), gains more traction with its liquid-cooling offerings and becomes more competitive at winning larger customers. While Dell shares are up 217% in the past year in large part due to traction for its servers that meet artificial-intelligence use cases, rival Super Micro Computer Inc. (SMCI) has seen its stock jump more than 800% in that span. Reitzes thinks Dell can improve its positioning in the eyes of customers and investors. “Signs point toward Dell having won more orders from Tier 2 clouds and amajor private AI

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PepsiCo’s Pending Inflection, Low Valuation Could Drive Stock Outperformance, Morgan Stanley Says

PepsiCo (PEP) is likely to report relatively in-line fiscal Q1 results and reiterate its fiscal 2024 guidance, but a “fundamental inflection” is expected in the rest of the year that could drive the stock to outperform, Morgan Stanley said Monday in a report. “We see Q1 [earnings per share] as the bottom fundamentally for the stock in our minds, and we are looking ahead to improving results in the balance of the year, as comparisons move from difficult to more benign, [short-term] pressure points dissipate, and sequential pricing deceleration dissipates,” the firm said. Morgan Stanley, which recently upgraded PepsiCo to overweight from equal-weight, also said the market has priced in too much risk following what looked like poor results particularly in Q4 of the previous fiscal year. Thus, valuation now looks “too low.” The firm said it expects the company’s organic sales growth bottoming at 2.3% in Q1 of the

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Walmart’s Alternative Businesses to Reshape Income, Enable Transformation, UBS Says

Walmart’s (WMT) alternative businesses have the potential to contribute nearly one-third of its profit over the next three years and transform the company from a global retailer into a “versatile, technology-driven behemoth,” UBS said in a note Monday. The company’s strategic diversification into areas like advertising, marketplace fees, fulfillment services, membership income, and data analytics monetization will continue to reshape Walmart’s profit and loss as the company gains scale in these businesses and evolves into more than a retailer, according to the note. UBS estimated that about 20% of Walmart’s 2023 earnings before interest and tax came from these new high margin alternative revenue streams and the figure could grow to 31% of the company’s profits in 2026. “This makes [Walmart’s] long-term investment case compelling,” UBS said in its note. The firm has a buy rating on the company’s stock with a 12-month price target of $63.

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Procter & Gamble Expected to Post Soft Fiscal Q3 Sales Growth, Morgan Stanley Says

Procter & Gamble (PG) is expected to report soft fiscal Q3 organic sales growth of 3.4%, below the 3.8% consensus forecast due to China beauty category weakness and Middle East pressure, Morgan Stanley said in a note. The brokerage said, in a Sunday note, it expects a 2.4% earnings per share upside for the consumer goods producer, driven by a 116 basis points gross margin improvement. EPS for the quarter is expected to reach $1.44, surpassing the consensus estimate of $1.41. EPS for the full year is forecasted at $6.45, Morgan Stanley added. The brokerage expects mixed segment results for the company, with a downside in Beauty operating segment growth at 0.8%, a 2% growth in Healthcare, and a growth of 5% each in the Grooming and Baby/Family care categories. Regionally, the brokerage forecasts a 4% growth in North America and a 14% increase in Latin America, countered by a

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PepsiCo Poised for ‘Depressed’ Quarterly Results, Organic Sales Acceleration in Rest of 2024, Morgan Stanley Says

PepsiCo (PEP) is likely to post “depressed” first-quarter results and reiterate its full-year outlook amid subdued expectations, though organic sales growth is projected to accelerate for the rest of the year, Morgan Stanley said in a note e-mailed Monday. The beverage and snacks company is scheduled to report March-quarter results on April 23. Morgan Stanley projects earnings at $1.51 per share and organic sales growth at 2.3%. Wall Street is looking for $1.52 and 2.5%, respectively, the brokerage said in a note. Morgan Stanley said the company could see “modest” upside to the firm’s and the Street’s organic sales outlooks, with the metric likely to see acceleration for the rest of the year as annual headwinds dissipate and comparisons ease. The brokerage expects the sequential pricing drop-off to ease in the second half of the year, while Quaker volumes are seen improving somewhat sequentially in the second quarter. “We think

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