Nike Unlikely to See Near-Term Stock Bounce After Slicing Full-Year Sales Guidance, Morgan Stanley Says

Nike (NKE) shares will likely have a difficult time recovering ground in the short-run after the athletic footwear maker cut its yearly sales outlook, Morgan Stanley said on Friday. The maker of Air Max, Air Jordans, and other sports shoes and accessories reduced its fiscal year revenue outlook to 1% growth, Chief Financial Officer Matthew Friend said on a conference call late Thursday, according to a Capital IQ transcript. It previously expected mid-single-digit percentage growth. Nike shares were sliding 10% to $109.67 during Friday’s session. The “disappointing” guidance overshadowed the company’s second-quarter profitability resilience, Morgan Stanley said in a note. “We aren’t hopeful for a (near-term) stock bounce,” given Nike’s elongated and uncertain path back to high-single digit revenue growth, according to the brokerage. The company’s revised guidance also dulled its “formerly compelling” rate-of-change story in the second half of the fiscal year. Friend said on the call that Nike’s […]

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Nike’s Fiscal Q2 Results ‘Solid,’ Outlook Disappointed, Morgan Stanley Says

Nike’s (NKE) fiscal Q2 results were “solid” overall, though its full-year guidance disappointed, Morgan Stanley said Friday. Late Thursday, the athletic footwear and apparel maker reported that its fiscal Q2 per-share earnings rose to $1.03 from $0.85 a year earlier, while revenue advanced 1% to $13.39 billion. The report showed the “resilience” of the company’s profitability, Morgan Stanley said in a note. “While 2Q revenue growth remained uninspiring, it came in no worse than market expectations.” The firm cut its price target on the Nike stock to $124 from $132 while keeping its overweight rating. Nike lowered its fiscal year revenue outlook to 1% growth from its previous expectations of mid-single-digit percentage growth. “Although investors were braced for lower [2024] revenue guidance given the recent branded peer trend/results, the magnitude of [Nike’s] cut surprised to the downside,” Morgan Stanley said in the note.

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Walt Disney Company (NYSE: DIS) Stock Analyst Ratings

Walt Disney Company (NYSE: DIS) Stock Analyst Ratings Date Upside/Downside Analyst Firm Price Target Change Rating Change Previous / Current Rating 12/22/2023 22.66% Rosenblatt $114 → $112 Maintains Buy 11/10/2023 10.61% Raymond James $93 → $101 Maintains Outperform 11/09/2023 25.94% Wells Fargo $110 → $115 Maintains Overweight 10/10/2023 31.42% JP Morgan $125 → $120 Maintains Overweight 10/06/2023 1.85% Seaport Global → $93 Initiates Coverage On → Buy 10/06/2023 12.8% Bernstein → $103 Initiates Coverage On → Outperform 09/20/2023 12.8% Rosenblatt $104 → $103 Maintains Buy 09/20/2023 — Needham Reiterates → Hold 09/20/2023 20.47% B of A Securities $135 → $110 Maintains Buy 09/19/2023 14.99% Truist Securities → $105 Reiterates Buy → Buy 09/18/2023 6.23% Raymond James → $97 Initiates Coverage On → Outperform 09/15/2023 13.9% Rosenblatt → $104 Reiterates Buy → Buy 09/12/2023 13.9% Rosenblatt → $104 Reiterates Buy → Buy 09/05/2023 20.47% Wells Fargo $146 → $110 Maintains Overweight

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Tesla’s Big Push at Q4 End Causes Forecasting Uncertainty; China Set to Remain Strong, RBC Says

Tesla (TSLA) might push deliveries in the final two weeks due to Inflation Reduction Act pull-forward, creating forecasting uncertainty, RBC Capital Markets said in a note. Analyst Tom Narayan said that RBC expects Tesla to deliver 456,000 vehicles in Q4, 1.1% below the consensus, based on registration data and app downloads. This would be an increase of 4.8% sequentially and would bring the total number of delivers in 2023 to 1.78 million units. The analyst said that RBC’s registration data trends point to a weak start to the quarter in Europe, China, and the US, but strength in China in November or early December. However, the firm did call registration data from China to be “choppy.” App downloads also show China being the strongest region, and suggest a stronger finish to the quarter across all regions, the analyst added. “Some of Tesla’s US customers will lose access to the $7,500

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3 Things We Learned From Elon Musk and Cathie Wood’s Conversation on X — Barrons.com

Cathie Wood and Tesla CEO Elon Musk sat down for a conversation that was more philosophical than practical. But for those willing to read between the lines, there were tidbits to be gleaned. Elon Musk Doesn’t Like Index Funds During the conversation, Musk and Wood touched on the bad timing of Tesla’s addition to the S&P 500. The shares were added on Dec. 21, 2020, when the company’s market capitalization was some $700 billion, up almost ninefold in the 12 months preceding the addition. Wood and Musk both commented that there is something odd about index investors missing out on all of that gain. Musk also suggested that passive investing vehicles, such as index funds, have grown too large and amplify gains and declines in stock prices. The growth of index investing isn’t something that can be managed or fixed, per se, but investors should be aware that the stock

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Target’s Remarkable Growth Since 2019 Outshines Walmart’s – Analyst Explores Future Outlook

Piper Sandler analyst Edward Yruma reiterated the Overweight rating on Target Corporation (NYSE:TGT) with a price target of $180. TGT has added $30 billion in revenue from 2019 to 2023E (38% growth vs 23% at Walmart Inc. (NYSE: WMT)) and has been focused on improving operational efficiency and discipline in 2023 – the analyst expects continued gains next year. TGT is well positioned to lean into improving medium-term discretionary trends – the analyst says, “the stock remains one of our favorite ideas for 2024.” TGT is working to standardize work processes and reduce unnecessary complexity, which is helping drive higher NPS scores as well as better financial performance, per the analyst. TGT is seeing greater cooperation with law enforcement and has brought in third party security specialists. Passive antitheft devices have been installed when necessary, the analyst notes. TGT continues to add new brands within home and baby, and this

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“Big Design-software Companies In Talks To Merge; An Acquisition By Synopsys Of Ansys, Which Has A Market Value Of Nearly $30B, Could Be Struck Early In 2024” – WSJ

Synopsys is in talks to acquire Ansys in a move that would create a new design-software giant and mark one of the first big merger deals of the new year. An acquisition of Ansys, which has a market value of nearly $30 billion, could be struck early in 2024, according to people familiar with the matter. The talks could still fall apart, and another suitor could emerge.

“Big Design-software Companies In Talks To Merge; An Acquisition By Synopsys Of Ansys, Which Has A Market Value Of Nearly $30B, Could Be Struck Early In 2024” – WSJ Read Post »

Cisco Systems Is Paying Around $650M In Cash For The Startup Isovalent

Cisco Systems’ acquisition of Isovalent, a cloud networking and security startup backed by Google and Microsoft, announced on Thursday, suggests that the enterprise software stock rebound is also boosting startup valuations in the sector. Cisco, a pioneer in data center networking equipment that has shifted to serve cloud customers, is paying around $650 million in cash for the startup, or 32 times its annual recurring revenue, said a person with direct knowledge of the figure. That’s well above the average valuation multiple for enterprise software stocks outside artificial intelligence, which are trading at 8.2 times ARR, according to Meritech

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CFRA analyst Zachary Warring underlined that Nike’s competitors could eat into some of the demand

CFRA analyst Zachary Warring underlined that Nike’s competitors could eat into some of the demand. “Although Nike maintains a fortress balance sheet with significant capital returns, we believe the multiple will trend back down to pre-pandemic levels as the company faces competition from brands like Hoka and On [Holding] while it looks for new growth drivers and focuses on cutting costs,” Warring said.

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Nike’s Growth Hinges On ‘Newness,’ But One Analyst Says Its Fastest-Growing Segment Is At Risk

After posting softer-than-expected revenue guidance in its fiscal second-quarter earnings, Nike Inc. (NYSE:NKE) is banking on “newness and innovation” to drive growth. However, one analyst struck a discordant note, stating that its fastest-growing piece of business is at risk. What Happened: ‘Just Do It’ might not be working for Nike, but analysts were largely positive on the company’s prospects, with most ratings being “Buy,” “Outperform,” or “Overweight.” However, TD Cowen analyst John Kernan is not as optimistic about Nike’s strategy, casting doubt on the growth prospects of the sneaker maker. “Nike needs improved marketing outside of basketball, streetwear and lifestyle trends,” Kernan said in a research note on Friday, downgrading the stock from “Outperform” to “Market Perform.” “Nike faces disruption from smaller competitors in footwear and apparel. Jordan brand moving into lower price points and away from a scarcity model creates risk to the fastest-growing piece of the business,” Kernan

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Oracle (NYSE:ORCL) stock Analyst Ratings

Oracle (NYSE:ORCL) stock Analyst Ratings Date Upside/Downside Analyst Firm Price Target Change Rating Change Previous / Current Rating 12/22/2023 — Erste Group Downgrades Buy → Hold 12/12/2023 0.41% Morgan Stanley $107 → $106 Maintains Equal-Weight 12/12/2023 23.14% Evercore ISI Group $135 → $130 Maintains Outperform 12/12/2023 23.14% Wolfe Research $140 → $130 Maintains Outperform 12/12/2023 19.35% BMO Capital $130 → $126 Maintains Market Perform 12/12/2023 18.4% UBS $135 → $125 Maintains Buy 12/12/2023 18.4% Piper Sandler $130 → $125 Maintains Overweight 11/13/2023 — Edward Jones Upgrades Hold → Buy 10/23/2023 1.35% Morgan Stanley $106 → $107 Maintains Equal-Weight 10/09/2023 27.88% Evercore ISI Group $131 → $135 Upgrades In-Line → Outperform 09/25/2023 23.14% BMO Capital $132 → $130 Maintains Market Perform 09/22/2023 42.09% Guggenheim → $150 Reiterates Buy → Buy 09/22/2023 23.14% Piper Sandler → $130 Reiterates Overweight → Overweight 09/21/2023 4.2% Berenberg $82.5 → $110 Maintains Hold 09/19/2023 42.09% Mizuho

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