Caterpillar Faces Tough 2025 Ahead, Morgan Stanley Says

Caterpillar (CAT) faces significant challenges in 2025, with Morgan Stanley lowering its Q1 and fiscal 2025 estimates due to a cautious outlook on pricing, continued dealer de-stocking, and “more modest” contributions from several business areas, with weakness in oil and gas, industrial, and transportation offsetting strength in power generation. The company is “still priced for perfection,” Morgan Stanley said in a note Friday, explaining the company’s investment thesis will likely skew negatively during 2025, even if broader construction and resource-extraction markets show signs of improvement this year. The firm lowered its Q1 and fiscal 2025 earnings estimates for Caterpillar, extending reductions into 2026. The analysts cited a more cautious outlook for pricing, expectations for continued dealer de-stocking, and “more modest” contributions from the Energy & Transportation segment, where strength in power generation is expected to be offset by weakness in oil and gas, industrial, and transportation markets. “Our view is […]

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Caterpillar’s Risk/Reward Balanced Following Lowered Expectations, UBS Says

Caterpillar’s (CAT) risk/reward is now balanced as expectations for the company have reset lower following two straight quarterly misses in earnings before interest and taxes, UBS Securities said in a Monday note. UBS said potential downside risk exists if “pricing pressure intensifies in 1H25 and/or oil & gas steps down more,” UBS said. “But we see equal risk that business is better than we think in 2H25/2026.” The investment firm said it cut its diluted earnings per share estimates for Caterpillar to $19.95 from $21.25 for 2025, to $21.95 from $22.25 for 2026 and to $22.85 from $23.25 for 2027. UBS upgraded the company’s rating to neutral from sell and raised its price target to $385 from $355.

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Amazon Shares Fall Premarket After Cloud-Computing Growth, Guidance Disappoint

Amazon.com shares fall premarket after fourth-quarter cloud-computing sales and the tech giant’s outlook for the first quarter came below analysts’ expectations. Amazon stock closed 1.1% higher at $238.83 ahead of results Thursday. Shares fell post market and are down 3.8% premarket, touching a low of $229.24. Sales at Amazon Web Services, the group’s cloud-computing unit, grew 19% to $28.79 billion, but missed a FactSet forecast of $28.82 billion. Meanwhile, Amazon guided for sales of between $151 billion and $155.5 billion in the first quarter, with operating profit between $14 billion and $18 billion. Analysts are forecasting net sales of $158.70 billion and operating profit of nearly $18.55 billion for the current quarter, according to FactSet.

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Amazon Has Investors Worried About AI Spending

Amazon.com’s big spending plans on artificial intelligence are worrying investors after DeepSeek showed that developing the technology doesn’t necessarily require billions of dollars, AJ Bell’s Dan Coatsworth writes in a research note. Amazon plans more than $100 billion in capital expenditure this year compared to about $78 billion spent last year as the tech giant ramps up investments on data centers, chips and networking gear for AI. “That’s a huge outlay to stomach now and then a waiting game before it gets a positive financial return on the investment,” Coatsworth says. Amazon shares are down 3% premarket at $231.75.

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Amazon Pours Fuel on Big Tech Spending After DeepSeek Panic

There’s stepping on the gas, and then there’s flooring it. When it comes to investing in artificial intelligence, Amazon.com just did the latter. While reporting its fourth-quarter results Thursday afternoon, Amazon became the latest tech giant to project a major jump in capital spending for this year — even after a big surge last year. Amazon didn’t give a precise forecast but said the $26.3 billion of capital spending in the latest quarter was a run rate that will be “reasonably representative” of what the company will spend this year. That would equate to about $105 billion for the year, up 35% from last year’s total and far above the $86 billion analysts were expecting, according to consensus estimates from Visible Alpha. And because Amazon defines its capital spending as cash expenditures and equipment acquired under finance leases, net of proceeds from the sale of property and equipment, the actual

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Amazon Posts Solid Earnings. That’s Where the Good News Ends.

Amazon stock fell ahead of the open Friday after the tech giant’s fourth-quarter results on Thursday afternoon presented a mixed picture of the business. Earnings per share beat expectations, coming in at $1.86, compared to Wall Street’s consensus estimate of $1.49, according to FactSet. Revenue for the quarter reached $187.8 billion, against expectations of $187.3 billion, and up 10% on the year. But the company’s important cloud unit, AWS, provided the big disappointment for investors. AWS saw growth of 19% to $28.8 billion, missing expectations of $28.9 billion. The unit is closely watched because it’s a profit machine for Amazon. In the latest quarter, AWS had a 36.9% operating profit margin, versus 6.6% for the rest of Amazon. Though AWS represented only 15% of Amazon revenue, it accounted for over half the operating profit. The stock was down 2.6% to $232.60 in premarket trading Friday. Amazon’s advertising business is the

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Amazon Seen in Great Shape

Amazon.com continues to innovate and raise the bar even as 4Q cloud-computing sales and the tech company’s outlook for 1Q came below analysts’ expectations, AJ Bell’s Dan Coatsworth writes in a research note. “Fundamentally, Amazon remains in great shape,” he says. The group can afford to try new things and even fail with some experiments because it generates significant cash flow, Coatsworth notes. This strength should be recognized by investors, he adds. Amazon shares are down 2.7% premarket at $232.33.

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Nvidia Stock Rises. Why the Chip Maker Is Getting a Much-Needed Boost.

Nvidia stock looked set to climb again on Thursday, having racked up gains the previous session thanks to Google parent Alphabet’s artificial intelligence spending plans. Shares of the chip maker rose 1.8% to $127.10 in premarket trading. Futures tracking the benchmark S&P 500 were up 0.2%. Nvidia stock climbed 5.2% on Wednesday after Alphabet pledged to make $75 billion in capital expenditures this year. That came after Microsoft and Meta Platforms also said they intend to raise their capex as they rush to build AI infrastructure. It was a much-needed boost. Nvidia stock has started 2025 in the red amid fears that the rapid rise of Chinese startup DeepSeek’s cheaper AI model could lead to big technology companies rethinking their capital expenditure plans. Western rivals have accelerated the launch of new AI models in response to DeepSeek’s advances. Google said Wednesday it would offer a new “Flash-Lite” version of its

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Salesforce’s Agentforce a ‘Good’ Catalyst for Company in 2025, Oppenheimer Says

Salesforce’s (CRM) Agentforce artificial intelligence platform is a “good” catalyst for the company this year even though initial deployments are small, Oppenheimer said in a Thursday note where the firm discussed its conversation with a Salesforce global system integrator. “The generative AI messaging and Agentforce cycles resonate with customers with greater investor appreciation for Salesforce’s AI positioning following,” Oppenheimer said. The firm said that some of the other catalysts for the company this year are topline reacceleration and continued margin growth. “While recognizing that sub-10% top-line growth and negative [foreign exchange] fluctuations are headwinds to higher estimates and multiples, we like the risk/reward profile,” the firm said. Oppenheimer maintained the company’s outperform rating and $415 price target.

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Skyworks Hits Roadblock With Apple Content Loss, Analysts See Tough Road For Recovery

Skyworks Solutions, Inc. (NASDAQ:SWKS) shares are trading lower on Thursday. Yesterday, the company reported quarterly financial results and announced a CEO transition. Skyworks expects second-quarter revenue to be between $935 million and $965 million, and adjusted earnings of $1.20 per share. Here are the analysts’ take on the stock: Stifelanalyst Ruben Roy downgraded Skyworks to Hold from Buy, lowering the price forecast to $62 from $105. KeyBanc Capital Marketsanalyst John Vinh reiterated the Sector Weight rating on the stock. Raymond Jamesanalyst Srini Pajjuri maintained the Market Perform rating on the stock. Stifel: Roy noted that the firm had lost content with its largest customer, Apple Inc., due to a dual-sourced socket strategy, with Broadcom Inc. as the second source. A 20%-25% content reduction is expected in the iPhone 17, and recovery isn’t likely until Apple shifts more toward internally sourced modems. As a result, revenue and profitability are expected to be much lower than

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Skyworks’ Stock Sinks as Apple Setback Is a ‘Nightmare Realized’

Skyworks’ stock could see its worst day on record, with analysts noting that Broadcom seems to have gotten in on the action for a lucrative iPhone socket Due to faulty FactSet data, a previous version of this report included an incorrect historical comparison of the stock’s move. Skyworks Solutions Inc. shares could see their worst performance on record Thursday as investors grapple with changes in the connectivity company’s relationship with Apple Inc. Skyworks (SWKS) makes radio-frequency components, and its management said on the earnings call that the company has been working with its largest customer for 18 years. That customer is widely seen to be Apple (AAPL), though Skyworks didn’t mention the name on its call. But Skyworks noted that for the coming smartphone cycle, the company expects a lower “content position” in the new phones. That’s expected to weigh on revenue beginning in the September quarter, with impacts throughout

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Amazon.com Q4 Earnings, Net Sales Rise; Q1 Outlook Set

Amazon.com (AMZN) reported Q4 earnings late Thursday of $1.86 per diluted share, up from $1 a year earlier. Analysts surveyed by FactSet expected $1.49. Net sales for the quarter ended Dec. 31 rose to $187.79 billion from $169.96 billion a year earlier. Analysts surveyed by FactSet expected $187.31 billion. The company expects Q1 net sales of $151 billion and $155.5 billion. Analysts surveyed by FactSet expect $158.56 billion. The company expects operating income for the quarter between $14 billion and $18 billion, compared with $15.3 billion a year earlier.

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