Three Reasons Nvidia’s Stock Is Still Compelling, and Why It Could Rise 30% in the Next Year

A screen of the S&P 500 still has Nvidia standing out, despite this year’s DeepSeek disruption for the stock. A year ago, a screen of the S&P 500 placed Nvidia Corp. at the top of the list of companies that were expected to show the most rapid increases in revenue from 2023 through 2025. Now it is time to run the screen again, using estimates through 2026. We ran that screen on Feb. 15 last year, using data as of the market close the previous day. Nvidia’s (NVDA) stock has returned 80% from Feb. 14, 2024, through Tuesday, while the S&P 500 SPX has returned 23%. All investment returns in this article included reinvested dividends. Nvidia’s stock has declined 1.1% this year, while the S&P 500 has returned 3.3%, through Tuesday. So one might conclude that the disruption on Jan. 27, when Nvidia’s stock sank 17.5% on the news that […]

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S&P Global Positioned for ‘Positive Revisions’ Amid Conservative 2025 Outlook, Morgan Stanley Says

S&P Global (SPGI) is positioned for “positive revisions” given its strong Q4 results and conservative 2025 outlook, Morgan Stanley said in a Wednesday note. The company reported Q4 adjusted earnings Tuesday of $3.77 per diluted share and $3.59 billion in revenue. S&P Global said it expects 2025 adjusted earnings of $17.00 to $17.25 per diluted share and 5% to 7% in revenue growth. Morgan Stanley highlighted the robust performance of S&P Global’s Ratings and Index businesses, as well as 5.6% organic growth in the Market Intelligence unit. The firm noted that the 2025 margin guide for Market Intelligence was solid at 33% to 34%, and sees potential upside in Ratings and Index, setting the stage for positive earnings revisions. Morgan Stanley raised its price target on S&P Global’s stock to $600 from $595 and reiterated its overweight rating.

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Micron Stock Falls as News on Outlook Disappoints

Micron Technology stock tumbled on Wednesday after the company’s chief financial officer said there would be “no change or update” to the company’ second-quarter outlook and signaled a deterioration in margins for the third quarter. Speaking at the Wolfe Research Auto, Auto Tech and Semiconductor Conference, CFO Mark Murphy said there would be no adjustments to the guidance issued on Dec. 18. For the second quarter, Micron forecast adjusted earnings in the range of $1.33 to $1.53 a share. The latest consensus call among analysts surveyed by FactSet is for $1.44 a share. Management now expects third-quarter gross margins to be lower “by a few hundred basis points sequentially,” Murphy added, citing changes in both Micron’s mix of customers and industry conditions. The company told investors to expect second-quarter gross margins between 37.5% and 39.5%. Shares of the computer memory manufacturer were down 3.3% to $90.87, on pace for the

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JPMorgan Chase Begins Layoffs, With More Planned, After Record Profits

Managers at JPMorgan Chase started to notify employees of job cuts last week, people familiar with the matter said, as part of a series of layoffs the bank plans to make throughout 2025. Some employees in the U.S. were notified of layoffs on Feb. 5, according to the people, who requested anonymity to discuss private matters. At least several of those layoffs were in the Houston offices. JPMorgan plans to announce additional cuts in mid-March, May, June, August, and September, the people said. Not every line of business will be impacted in each round of those layoffs. In February, fewer than 1,000 employees are going to be laid off, and was it unclear how many employees the firm plans to cut this year. The firm had some 317,000 employees as of December. A spokesperson for JPMorgan said on Wednesday that the cuts are “part of our regular management of the

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Micron expects margins to decline in the next quarter, and its stock price fell sharply after the open

Micron CFO mentions various factors that could weigh on margins for next quarter but also says that period should mark the low point Micron Technology Inc. sees a few factors that could weigh on margins next quarter, and that’s pressuring the stock on Wednesday. The maker of memory chips already forecast a 38.5% gross margin at the midpoint for its February quarter, which would be down from the 39.5% level seen in the last quarter. But speaking at a Wolfe Research conference on Wednesday, Chief Financial Officer Mark Murphy said while that outlook is still intact, the company now expects “a few hundred basis points” of sequential margin decline in the May quarter. Micron’s stock (MU) is off 2.6% in Wednesday morning action, having pared losses after being down as much as 7.1% earlier in the session. It’s currently the worst performer in the PHLX Semiconductor Index SOX on the

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Tesla Stock Is on a Terrible Run. It’s About Much More Than Musk and OpenAI

$Tesla (TSLA.US)$ stock is mired in a terrible losing streak, and there is no shortage of suspects to blame for the decline. So Barron’s gathered a police lineup and asked people to identify the culprit. We also asked market technicians what’s next for the stock. Coming into Wednesday trading, Tesla stock dropped for five consecutive trading days, losing about 16% in the process. Shares were down about 23% since the Jan. 20 presidential inauguration and about 32% from a record closing high of almost $480 in mid-December. Tesla stock was down 0.5% in after-hours trading at $326.75, while S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average futures were both falling 0.1%. Why the drop? Investors might blame Elon Musk’s role in the newly created Department of Government Efficiency or his unsolicited $97 billion bid to control OpenAI. It could be the competitive threat from China’s BYD or just market randomness. Barron’s put

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Nvidia Stock Gains. Why Stargate and Meta Are in Focus for Investors.

Nvidia stock was edging up early Wednesday. The future of the Stargate Project infrastructure plan and the potential expansion of Meta Platforms’ in-house chip efforts are in focus for investors. Nvidia shares were rising 0.2% to $133.05 in premarket trading. The stock fell 0.6% on Tuesday. In the build up to the chip maker’s earnings report on Feb 26., the focus is on big spending commitments for AI infrastructure. Japan’s SoftBank Group said Wednesday that the Stargate Project — which aims to spend as much as $500 billion on AI infrastructure in the U.S. — won’t rely on SoftBank’s equity for funding after it booked a $2.42 billion loss for the last quarter of 2024. That could relieve concerns over the Japanese group’s volatile earnings posing an obstacle to Stargate. Nvidia is a technology partner for the project, which aims to build new AI data centers in the U.S. SoftBank

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Apple Collaborates With Alibaba for AI Features on IPhones in China

Apple teamed up with Alibaba (HKG:9988) to bring artificial intelligence features to iPhone users in China, South China Morning Post reported Tuesday, citing sources familiar with the deal. The US tech firm is eyeing to use Alibaba’s Qwen AI model and its “cutting edge” capabilities to make up for the absence of Apple Intelligence in iPhones in China, the report said. South China Morning Post is owned by Alibaba.

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Dan Ives Says Palantir Could Be Next Oracle Or Salesforce As AI Boom Drives Massive Software Spending, Highlights 8-10x Multiplier Effect

Wedbush Securities analyst Dan Ives predicts Palantir Technologies Inc. (NYSE:PLTR) could emerge as a dominant force in the artificial intelligence software landscape, comparing it to industry giants Oracle Corp. (NYSE:ORCL) and Salesforce Inc. (NYSE:CRM). What Happened: In a CNBC interview on Tuesday, Ives highlighted the multiplier effect of AI infrastructure spending, noting that “for every dollar spent on Nvidia chip, there’s an 8 to $10 multiplier across tech, across the ecosystem software.” He emphasized that this trend is particularly evident in companies like Palantir and Salesforce. The analyst’s bullish stance on Palantir comes amid the company’s remarkable stock performance, with shares up nearly 350% over the past year. The AI software firm recently reported strong fourth-quarter results, with revenue reaching $827.52 million, exceeding analyst expectations of $775.91 million. Ives pointed to Jevons Paradox – an economic theory suggesting increased efficiency leads to higher demand – as a key driver of AI software adoption. “This is the software age that’s

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McDonald’s Discounts Could Hurt Profit. Watch the Earnings on Monday.

Discounts and promotions from McDonald’s might attract more customers back to its restaurants, but they might not be helpful to its earnings. McDonald’s is set to post quarterly results on Monday before the market opens. For the three months ended in December, analysts polled by FactSet expect the firm to post $2.85 in earnings per share and $6.45 billion in total revenue. While revenue is expected to come slightly higher than the year-ago period, earnings estimates are 3.4% down from a year ago. The fast food giant rolled out a series of discounts and promotions over the past few quarters, which could have cut into its profit. The stock is largely flat year to date, but has come down 6.6% from the recent high reached in October. McDonald’s has been trying to refuel growth in response to sluggish sales as consumers pulled back from restaurant spending amid inflation pressures. The

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Apple Ramping Up Hiring For Home Robotics Team, Says Top Analyst: What’s Brewing?

Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:AAPL) is reportedly ramping up its recruitment efforts for its home robotics division. What Happened: In his latest weekly “Power On” newsletter, Bloomberg columnist Mark Gurman said that the company has posted several job listings for robotics specialists over the past few weeks. “As a member of the team, you’ll have the opportunity to work with a small team of highly skilled engineers and scientists to bring new experiences to Apple products,” the tech giant stated. Apple’s robotics development is handled by two teams: the Home Labs hardware engineering group and Kevin Lynch’s AI special projects team. They are focused on a tabletop robot and, in the future, possibly a humanoid model, Gurman said. The company is still in the early stages of researching mobile robots, both humanoid and non-humanoid. However, the tabletop robot is expected to debut by 2027. Why It Matters: Last month, Apple also published a research paper detailing a tabletop robot

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Amazon Capex Plans Signals Demand for AWS Still Outpaces Supply

Amazon is planning to allocate more than $100 billion in capital expenditure this year as part of a push to build generative AI services. UBS analysts in a research note say the capex plans are a sign of higher demand, particularly as demand for on-premise to cloud infrastructure continues as IT budgets return to form. They estimate that about 70% will be allocated to Amazon Web Services. “Even as Amazon and the broader industry continues to face a shortage in chips/components, we believe the main takeaway here is that demand for AWS continues to outpace supply,” they say. Shares tick down 2.7% premarket after 1Q sales and operating income projections came up short of Wall Street’s expectations.

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